Well, folks, sometimes you just get ALL of the money! That was the case yesterday as we pulled off the full scoop with an 11-0 record and 4, count ‘em 4, parlay winners, paying out over $2,000! Yesterday I opened my article by telling you that if you had already shifted your betting focus to the NFL, that you needed to come back, as late-season Major League Baseball betting can be extra juicy! And just like that, I proved that statement to be true with a monster day.
For those of you that weren’t able to take advantage of yesterday’s plays, you might think that I laid a bunch of wood on heavy favorites to run up the elite record, but that just wasn’t the case, as the majority of our wining plays came at either even money or dog money. Our all money line play came in with winners on the Blue Jays (-130), Cardinals (-115), and Giants (-110) and paid out $632 bucks.
Game 1 is ours 😍 #SeaUsRise pic.twitter.com/1iokzzwCVq
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) September 14, 2021
We cashed our totals parlay with winning bets on Mariners/Red Sox over 8 runs (-110), DBacks/Dodgers under 8 runs (-110), and Cardinals/Mets under 8 runs (-110) for a whopping $700 payout. Next were the underdogs as we found a 2-team all-dog winner on the Marlins (-105) and Mariners (+105) that netted us $401. Our final winning bet of the day paid out $414 when the Yankees (-180), Astros (-190), and Dodgers run line (-135) all took care of business and won their games.
When you bet baseball every day like I do, you are always striving for perfection, knowing that you are very rarely ever going to achieve it. But we saw yesterday, that every once in a while, the stars align, and you scoop the world and pick up piles of cash. We will stay on the grind today, delivering max value, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Parlay
Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.
Cincinnati Reds (-160) at Pittsburgh Pirates
It seems like no team really wants the 2nd wild card in the National League, as all of the teams still in the mix for that final playoff spot are struggling right now. If the season were to end today, the Cincinnati Reds would snag that last postseason spot, as they lead the Cardinals and Padres by just a half of a game, with both the Phillies and Mets still in the mix as well.
The Reds took the day off yesterday and took advantage of the Padres loss in LA to the Dodgers to move up the standings. Today, Cincinnati will head to Pittsburgh for a must-win series with the out of contention Pirates. Wade Miley gets the nod for Cincy, and Reds fans are hoping he can continue his dominance over the Buccos this season.
The future is now. pic.twitter.com/vhCELGa35r
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) September 12, 2021
In 2 starts this year against Pittsburgh, Miley has yet to allow even a single earned run in 13 innings of work. The Pirates are hitting just .178 against Miley, and with this game meaning so much to the Reds, it’s hard to expect anything but his best effort tonight on the road. Miley has been sharp recently, holding opposing teams to 2 earned runs or fewer in 4 of his last 5 starts.
Dillon Peters will start for Pittsburgh, looking to notch his first winning decision since 2019. Peters has bounced around quite a bit in his Big League career, and he hasn’t been able to stay consistent enough to catch on as a regular anywhere. Peters has made 4 starts for Pittsburgh this season and has actually been decent, but his career ERA still sits at over 5 and a half runs, so I am not ready to say this is a guy that should be feared.
As mediocre as the Reds have been in the last 2 weeks, they got the day off yesterday to reset and reflect on where they stand. None of what has happened matters right now, as the Reds control their own destiny, and they know that wins are wins, even if they come against an awful team like the Pittsburgh Pirates. I’ll lay a little wood and back the Reds in what could end up being a blowout type of game.
Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves (-160)
The Colorado Rockies are going to avoid being the worst road team in modern MLB history, but not by much, as they are an absurd 30 games under .500 on the road this season. Colorado takes their show on the road again tonight as they head to Atlanta to play the first place Braves. The Rockies will turn to Jon Gray tonight to start, hoping that they can win for the first time with Gray on the bump since July!
The Rockies have lost each of Gray’s last 6 starts, with all but one of those losses coming by multiple runs. Not only are the Rockies losing basically every time that this guy pitches, but they are rarely even competitive at this point. I see the Braves hammering him in this one, as Atlanta has a chance to put away the division title with a strong finish.
Sunday sluggers 💪@GEICO | #ForTheA pic.twitter.com/8QwVIgynC6
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) September 13, 2021
Atlanta had won 6 consecutive starts from Touki Toussaint before dropping his last outing, and with the Braves rotation decimated by injuries, his ability to step into the rotation and gets guys out has been a major lift to the Braves division title dreams. This game boils down to a home/away split play. If these teams were playing in Colorado, I would consider backing the Rockies, but they aren’t, it is in Hotlanta, where the Braves are 4-2 on this current homestand, so I will make my bet on Atlanta.
San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants (-170)
The poor San Diego Padres. It is easy to call this late season collapse just that, a collapse, but when you look at the teams the Padres have been forced to play, it is hardly their fault that they are stumbling to the finish line of the regular season. The Friars got swept in their last series against the Los Angeles Dodgers, and they got blown out last night in the series opener against the Giants.
The Padres won’t play an out of contention team again this season, and that means if they do find a way to sneak into the postseason, it will be because they fought their way in by beating elite teams. As much as I am rooting for this small market team that nobody believes in, the schedule is just too tough for them to overcome. They couldn’t win in the Bay Area last night, and they aren’t going to win in the Bay tonight either.
GOOOOOOD MORNING, #SFGIANTS FANS 🎉 pic.twitter.com/QoGgUqt9AZ
— SFGiants (@SFGiants) September 14, 2021
Anthony DeSclafani is having a career year for the G-Men, and despite suffering an injury that sent him to the IL late last month, he is back healthy now and pitching well. In his last home start, he completely shut down the hard-hitting LA Dodgers to the tune of 6 shutout innings, allowing just 2 base hits. The Padres are known for their potent lineup, but what if I told you that they were dead last in runs scored per game in the National League this month?
It might be hard to believe, but that doesn’t make it any less true, as the Padres bats have gone ice cold. If San Diego is going to have any shot at knocking off the team with the best record in baseball, they are going to need a huge effort out of starting pitcher Jake Arrieta. But when you see how Arrieta has pitched this season, I don’t know if he is even capable of delivering what the Padres need from him tonight.
Arrieta was released from the Chicago Cubs after posting an atrocious 5-11 record and 6.88 ERA, and he hasn’t been any better with the Padres, with an 8.64 ERA in 2 starts. The gas tank is on E for Arrieta, and he is going to get punished tonight by this Giants team that has its site set on the NL pennant.
If you build it. pic.twitter.com/S4IhLAo0la
— SFGiants (@SFGiants) September 14, 2021
If you took the names off of these teams and just compared the data, the Giants would be laying -200 or more in this game. But the public sees that Padres jersey and thinks that this team is the team that they were earlier in the season, when clearly, they are not. I will fade the public’s collective ignorance and back the Giants at a bargain price tonight at home as they roll to another no-sweat victory over the Padres.
Money Line Parlay
Cincinnati Reds -160
Atlanta Braves -160
San Francisco Giants -170
$100 Bet Pays $420
Game Total Parlay
The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.
Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals Over 8 Runs (-110)
I get it. We all want Jesus Luzardo to be the stud that he was supposed to be when he came up as one of the top prospects in baseball. The Florida native was traded to Miami at the trade deadline in exchange for speedster Starling Marte, and while he gives Miami a marketable homegrown player to be the face of their franchise, he just hasn’t been able to produce on the mound.
Luzardo has been a joke on the road this season, with an ERA north of 9 runs and his 6.58 ERA in 8 starts for the Fish, doesn’t exactly give me much confidence that the change of scenery did anything to help his poor performance. On the other side of the mound, we have Erick Fedde, who has an ERA of 5.40 at home this season. I know that neither of these teams score many runs, but this total is at least a full run too low when you look at how weak the starting pitching matchup is. I will jump on the over, and as long as one of these guys struggles, we should see this one sail over without much of a sweat.
New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Under 9.5 Runs (-110)
Similar to the San Diego Padres, the New York Yankees bats haven’t been living up to their standards in the last several weeks. The Bronx Bombers haven’t been doing too much bombing as of late, as they are one of the lowest scoring teams in the American League this month. That power outage has led to losses in 8 of their last 10 games for New York, and they went from division title hopefuls, to wild card prayers, in a hurry.
This total is way too high when you consider how poorly the New York bats have been swinging and the fact that they are starting AL CY Young Award favorite Gerrit Cole. Cole missed some action in August with an injury, but since his return, he has been fantastic, working 28.1 innings and giving up only 4 earned runs.
Even if the Yankees snap out of their funk at the plate and hammer on Baltimore tonight, and that certainly could happen after watching the Blue Jays smash the O’s earlier this week, this game will still stay under the total if Cole can shut down Baltimore. It is just too hard for a game to go over this high of a total if one of the teams doesn’t score. I am taking the under tonight at Camden Yards.
Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers Under 9 Runs (-110)
This play is a bit of a gamble, as we just don’t know what is going on with Freddy Peralta right now. The Brewers will tell you that he is healthy, but his recent performances make you wonder, as he hasn’t gotten out of the 4th inning in any of his last 3 starts. But if Brewer’s management can be believed, and Peralta is at full power tonight, I love a play on the under, as he is capable of completely shutting teams down.
The Tigers will start a Peralta of their own in Wily Peralta. The other Peralta has spent much of his last 3 seasons pitching in relief, and the longtime former Brewer has pitched well in his return to the starting rotation this season for Detroit. Wily does his best work at home, where he is an impressive 1-0 with a 2.38 ERA in 5 starts. This bet isn’t one of those stone-cold lead pipe locks, but the value side of this play is the under, and that is where I will take my stand. Have you ever seen Steph Curry pull up from 40 feet and let one fly as a heat check? Consider this bet my heat check play as I launch one from deep and hope for the best.
Game Total Parlay
Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals Over 8 Runs -110
New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Under 9.5 Runs -110
Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers Under 9 Runs -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
The Daily Dog
Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.
Cleveland Indians (+105) at Minnesota Twins Game 1
The Cleveland Indians and Minnesota Twins will square off today in a scheduled doubleheader, with both games coming as 7 inning affairs. I like the Indians to take game 1 as underdogs, with rookie sensation Triston McKenzie getting the nod. Like most young pitchers do, McKenzie had more than his fair share of struggles early in his career. But he has figured things out in the last month or so, and he is finally living up to his lofty billing and appears to be a guy that is going to be near the top of the Indians rotation for years to come.
Twin bill in the Twin City.#OurCLE pic.twitter.com/fAzvk0CNZa
— Cleveland Indians (@Indians) September 14, 2021
McKenzie is still just 24 years old, and he has held teams to 2 earned runs or fewer in each of his last 5 starts. That run has taken his season ERA from 6.11 all the way down to where it stands now at 4.44. The big change for McKenzie was his ability to throw strikes as he was walking way too many guys early in the season and has been hammering the strike zone recently. The young Indian’s ace in the making has pitched into the 6th inning, or later, in each of his last 6 starts, and with this game only going 7 innings, he may end up going the distance. More on this double dip later, but I am taking the Tribe in game 1 as road underdogs.
Tampa Bay Rays (+125) at Toronto Blue Jays
I backed the Blue Jays yesterday and cashed a ticket, and while I fully understand that I might be jumping in front of a steaming locomotive right now, I will switch gears and back the Rays today in game 2. Toronto has been steaming hot this month, with wins in 12 of their last 13 games, and they have scored, by far, the most runs per game of any team this month. But my guy tells me that Drew Rasmussen is going to slow this freight train down tonight.
KK doesn’t appear to be impressed with this catch, but we humbly disagree #UltraMoment pic.twitter.com/nETGJt1WD3
— Tampa Bay Rays (@RaysBaseball) September 14, 2021
When the Rays traded shortstop Willy Adames to the Milwaukee Brewers earlier this season, I am not sure Rays fans expected what they ended up getting in return in Drew Rasmussen. Just like they always seem to do, the Rays have used Rasmussen in several different roles, but as a starter, he has been really strong. In his last 6 outings, all coming as starts, he has worked a total of 24.1 innings and has allowed only 5 earned runs.
The Blue Jays will match Rasmussen with the recently acquired Jose Berrios. Berrios has been solid for the Jays since being traded from the Twins, with a 4-2 record and 3.63 ERA. That being said, wins have been harder to come by than that production might lead you to believe, as the Jays are just 4-4 in his 8 starts. This is going to be a tightly contested game that I see as a coin flip that could go either way. In these situations, you always want to be on the side getting juice, not laying it, so I will back the Rays on the road today as they look to slow down the streaking Blue Jays.
Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners (+125)
Yesterday we took the Seattle Mariners as home underdogs. I pointed out that the Mariners have been the best home dog team in the Major Leagues all season long, and I loved being able to back them getting juice at home. Seattle won that game, and the books will give us another chance to back the M’s as home dogs again today, and once again, I will fire hard on Seattle.
Nathan Eovaldi starts for the Red Sox, and while he has been great at home, he has been bad on the road, with a 4.87 ERA, 2 full runs higher than his home field stats. He has only pitched against the Mariners once this season, and he got rocked for 5 runs, all earned, in just 5 innings of work and was charged with a loss for his efforts.
BRING. THE. NOISE. #SeaUsRise
🔥 https://t.co/AB0OtH4kjC 🔥 pic.twitter.com/Ju1lIwfTp1
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) September 14, 2021
Seattle will go with Tyler Anderson as they attempt to make the postseason for the first time since 2001. Anderson has done a great job since the Mariners brought him in from the Pittsburgh Pirates, with a sub-4-run ERA. The M’s have won 5 of his last 6 starts, and if they do end up breaking through with their first postseason appearance in a generation, Anderson should get plenty of the credit. The Mariners have an MLB best 29-16 record at home as underdogs, and I just can’t resist backing them any time that I get a chance as home dogs.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
Cleveland Indians +105
Tampa Bay Rays +125
Seattle Mariners +125
$100 Bet Pays $1,038
Get Rich Or Die Trying
In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!
Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 Runs (-110)
The Chicago Cubs have one of the worst rosters I can ever remember. It wasn’t always that way, though, but after an epic fire sale at the trade deadline, where the Cubs traded away superstars like Anthony Rizzo, Javy Baez, and Kris Bryant, there just isn’t much left on this roster. Chicago did a respectable job of winning games earlier this month, but they got swept in their last series, and I see them struggling in this series with the Phillies, who are desperately trying to find their way into the playoffs in the National League.
With Kyle Gibson pitching great for Philly, not only do I see the Phillies winning this game, I see them blowing it out. Gibson is 7-2 with a 2.24 ERA at home, and despite getting roughed up a bit in his last 2 starts, I see him handling these weak-hitting Cubs tonight at home. The Cubs are awful on the road, the Phillies are great at home, and that tells me that a run line play on the Phillies is the play to make.
Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins (-130) Game 2
I took the Indians in the early game of this scheduled double dip, but I see this doubleheader being split and will take the Twins in the late game. This play is almost exclusively a fade of Indians starter Logan Allen. Allen has been mostly terrible for the Indians, with an ERA of nearly 7 runs. In his last outing, he got lit up for 5 runs in just 5.1 innings pitched, against these very same Twins. Minnesota starter Charlie Barnes isn’t much better, but I don’t see the Indians sweeping this series on the road, so I will back the Twins as small home favorites in game 2.
Houston Astros -1.5 Runs (-135) at Texas Rangers
The Houston Astros knew that they could ill afford a loss in Texas to the Rangers in this series. Houston is trying to hold off the Mariners and Athletics in the AL West, and they had to take care of business against the Rangers, and that is just what they did last night when they embarrassed Texas on their own field.
Houston punished Texas for 15 runs, and tonight, with Zack Greinke getting the start, I see them dominating again in what is sure to be a blowout. We already saw what the Astros bats are capable of, and with Greinke’s 6-1 record and 2.89 ERA on the road, this one is going to get ugly. I’ll lay that run and a half and be surprised if the Astros don’t win by at least several runs.
St. Louis Cardinals (+155) at New York Mets
Our final play of the day comes to us from the Big Apple as the New York Mets host the St. Louis Cardinals. Both of these teams are fighting for the 2nd wild card in the National League, and this is a must-win game for both squads. Taijuan Walker has had a breakout season for the Mets, but with how inconsistent New York has been, I can’t justify seeing them as such huge favorites.
Jake Woodford isn’t the household name that Taijuan Walker is at this point of his career, but in his last 2 starts, he pitched against the Brewers and Dodgers, 2 of the best teams in the NL, and was fantastic, posting a 0.96 ERA. The Mets should be favored, but the books took this one too far, so I will jump on the other side and try and take advantage of the bad number with a play on the Cardinals.
Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 Runs -110
Minnesota Twins -130
Houston Astros -1.5 Runs -135
St. Louis Cardinals +155
$100 Bet Pays $1,500
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!